Which event predicts which?

Each row is an event, each column what follows. The colour shows how much more or less often it happens than among similar companies in the same sector and of the same size. Click a cell for the finding.

Less oftenNo differenceMore often4 times or more
Event ↓What follows →Articles amendedChange of legal formMerger or demergerNew business purposeNew company nameBoard changeCapital changeNew establishmentRegistered office moveSite in another municipalityEnvironmental permitNew-build permit applicationOther planning applicationRenovation or extension permitDe minimis aidBankruptcyDissolution or liquidationRegistered address struck off
Change of legal form0.32×0.52×
Incorporation0.36×0.52×0.07×1.1×0.46×0.39×0.30×1.2×2.1×0.43×
Merger or demerger3.6×8.4×5.2×1.4×2.1×1.8×2.1×1.2×
New business purpose0.56×
Board change1.8×1.0×1.6×0.36×1.4×2.6×
Capital change1.8×1.6×0.82×2.9×6.2×
Registered office move0.22×1.0×1.1×2.0×2.7×
Environmental permit1.9×2.2×3.7×3.5×3.3×1.4×
New-build permit application1.1×1.4×1.5×2.9×4.0×3.2×1.3×
Other planning application1.0×2.3×2.6×2.9×4.1×4.0×
Renovation or extension permit1.6×2.3×2.6×3.4×1.1×
Large public contract1.5×1.6×1.5×1.5×
Dissolution or liquidation0.05×
Registered address struck off3.7×9.1×

By outcome

What comes before an event at Belgian companies, strongest links first. Click an outcome for every preceding event.

What comes before a change of name?3 preceding eventsStrongest: Merger or demerger 5.2×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Merger or demerger5.1%1.0%5.2×Confirmed
Registered office move0.86%0.79%1.1×No link
Board change1.01%1.00%1.0×No link
What comes before a board change?6 preceding eventsStrongest: Capital change 1.6×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Capital change24.7%15.8%1.6×Confirmed
Merger or demerger30.6%21.4%1.4×Confirmed
Incorporation5.6%10.6%0.52×Less often
Dissolution or liquidation0.3%5.8%0.05×Less often
New-build permit application19.5%18.2%1.1×No link
Other planning application18.0%18.0%1.0×No link
What comes before a new site in another municipality?6 preceding eventsStrongest: Other planning application 2.6×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Other planning application3.9%1.5%2.6×Confirmed
Environmental permit3.7%1.7%2.2×Confirmed
Merger or demerger3.5%1.7%2.1×Confirmed
Large public contract4.5%2.8%1.6×Confirmed
New-build permit application2.4%1.6%1.5×Confirmed
Incorporation1.11%0.98%1.1×No link
What comes before a new establishment?6 preceding eventsStrongest: Other planning application 2.3×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Other planning application4.9%2.2%2.3×Confirmed
Environmental permit4.6%2.4%1.9×Confirmed
Merger or demerger3.9%2.2%1.8×Confirmed
Renovation or extension permit3.3%2.1%1.6×Confirmed
Large public contract5.1%3.4%1.5×Confirmed
New-build permit application3.2%2.3%1.4×Confirmed
What comes before a move of the registered office?5 preceding eventsStrongest: Registered address struck off 3.7×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Registered address struck off6.0%1.6%3.7×Confirmed
New business purpose1.3%2.2%0.56×Less often
Change of legal form1.2%2.4%0.52×Less often
Board change1.1%3.1%0.36×Less often
Incorporation0.3%4.0%0.07×Less often
What comes before a new-build permit application?4 preceding eventsStrongest: Other planning application 4.1×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Other planning application17.7%4.3%4.1×Confirmed
Environmental permit14.8%4.0%3.7×Confirmed
Renovation or extension permit11.3%4.3%2.6×Confirmed
Incorporation0.51%1.09%0.46×Less often
What comes before a renovation or extension permit application?4 preceding eventsStrongest: Other planning application 4.0×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Other planning application8.5%2.1%4.0×Confirmed
Environmental permit4.8%1.5%3.3×Confirmed
New-build permit application6.5%2.0%3.2×Confirmed
Incorporation0.23%0.79%0.30×Less often
What comes before another type of planning application?4 preceding eventsStrongest: New-build permit application 4.0×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
New-build permit application12.3%3.1%4.0×Confirmed
Environmental permit9.7%2.8%3.5×Confirmed
Renovation or extension permit11.3%3.3%3.4×Confirmed
Incorporation0.32%0.83%0.39×Less often
What comes before an environmental permit application?4 preceding eventsStrongest: Other planning application 2.9×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Other planning application19.4%6.6%2.9×Confirmed
New-build permit application21.9%7.5%2.9×Confirmed
Renovation or extension permit12.4%5.3%2.3×Confirmed
Large public contract12.0%8.0%1.5×Confirmed
What comes before de minimis aid?7 preceding eventsStrongest: Large public contract 1.5×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Large public contract33.0%21.4%1.5×Confirmed
Environmental permit22.4%16.6%1.4×Confirmed
New-build permit application18.3%14.6%1.3×Refuted
Incorporation7.2%6.2%1.2×Refuted
Merger or demerger13.9%12.0%1.2×No link
Renovation or extension permit11.9%11.0%1.1×No link
Capital change7.7%9.4%0.82×Refuted
What comes before a bankruptcy?4 preceding eventsStrongest: Registered address struck off 9.1×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Registered address struck off4.5%0.5%9.1×Confirmed
Capital change1.47%0.50%2.9×Confirmed
Registered office move0.83%0.41%2.0×Confirmed
Board change0.56%0.39%1.4×Confirmed
What comes before a dissolution or liquidation?3 preceding eventsStrongest: Registered office move 2.7×
Preceding eventWith the eventSimilarFactorResult
Registered office move1.35%0.50%2.7×Confirmed
Board change0.99%0.39%2.6×Confirmed
Incorporation0.40%0.19%2.1×Confirmed

About Hunch Lab

Hunch Lab is the research programme of Hunch. Every finding is free to reuse with attribution. Questions are welcome.