Companies that receive a training or advisory grant are no more likely to grow their workforce strongly

Companies with a training or advisory grant were no more likely to have strong workforce growth in the following financial year than similar companies: 7.6% against 6.1%. Both measurements rule out a link of 1.4 times or more.

Strong workforce growth in the financial year after the event

Both measurements combined · 7,431 companies

1.3×

No meaningful difference from similar companies.

95% interval
1.2× to 1.4×
Companies
7,431
Measurements
2, independent
Source: Hunch Lab, cohort study of 1,141,228 Belgian companies. Compared within sector, size and age, with companies active in the same period.hunchleads.com/en/lab

Does it hold up?

Each measurement uses different companies and a different period. A link only counts if it shows up in both.

MeasurementPeriodWith the eventSimilarFactor
Financial year 2024event in 2023, workforce in the 2024 accounts11.6%7.8%1.5×
Financial year 2025event in 2024, workforce in the 2025 accounts7.5%6.0%1.2×

Technical note

Methodology
Design
Retrospective cohort study
Population studied
1,141,228 Belgian companies (the full business register)
Comparison group
Same sector (NACE section) and headcount band, indirect standardisation
Cohorts
event in 2023, workforce in the 2024 accounts; event in 2024, workforce in the 2025 accounts
Observed and expected
564 cases, 451 expected
Factor (95% interval)
1.3× (1.2× to 1.4×)
Multiple testing
q < 0.001 (Benjamini-Hochberg)
Second measurement
p = 0.055
Employers only
n/a
Data up to
September 2026
Cite this findingFree to reuse with attribution (CC BY 4.0).
Hunch Lab (2026). Companies that receive a training or advisory grant are no more likely to grow their workforce strongly. Data up to September 2026. https://hunchleads.com/en/lab/subsidie-opleiding-advies-personeelgroei

Figures for this finding (CSV)

About Hunch Lab

Hunch Lab is the research programme of Hunch. Every finding is free to reuse with attribution. Questions are welcome.