Public contracts and support·FindingProvisional

After an innovation grant, companies are twice as likely to grow their workforce strongly

Of the 644 companies with an innovation grant, 12.6% also had strong workforce growth in the following financial year, against 6.3% among similar companies.

Strong workforce growth in the financial year after the event

One measurement · 644 companies

2.0×

as often as among similar companies.

95% interval
1.6× to 2.5×
Companies
644
Measurements
1 (second to follow)
Source: Hunch Lab, cohort study of 1,141,228 Belgian companies. Compared within sector, size and age, with companies active in the same period.hunchleads.com/en/lab

Does it hold up?

This finding rests on a single measurement. The second follows with the next financial year.

MeasurementPeriodWith the eventSimilarFactor
Financial year 2025event in 2024, workforce in the 2025 accounts12.6%6.3%2.0×

Technical note

Methodology
Design
Retrospective cohort study
Population studied
1,141,228 Belgian companies (the full business register)
Comparison group
Same sector (NACE section) and headcount band, indirect standardisation
Cohorts
event in 2024, workforce in the 2025 accounts
Observed and expected
81 cases, 41 expected
Factor (95% interval)
2.0× (1.6× to 2.5×)
Multiple testing
q < 0.001 (Benjamini-Hochberg)
Second measurement
to follow
Employers only
n/a
Data up to
September 2026
Cite this findingFree to reuse with attribution (CC BY 4.0).
Hunch Lab (2026). After an innovation grant, companies are twice as likely to grow their workforce strongly. Data up to September 2026. https://hunchleads.com/en/lab/subsidie-innovatie-personeelgroei

Figures for this finding (CSV)

About Hunch Lab

Hunch Lab is the research programme of Hunch. Every finding is free to reuse with attribution. Questions are welcome.